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Author Topic: What is your Gut Feeling about The Economy?  (Read 2170 times)
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Klondike
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« Reply #75 on: July 17, 2008, 07:22:09 PM »

I don't have any universally good news, but oil prices will crash and if it happens before winter, that will be good for seniors and the disabled on fixed incomes.

But that means the loss of lots of jobs in that sector.  But refiners will benefit, hopefully, and also some trucking firms might be saved from going out of business.
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"Our country is now geared to an arms economy bred in an artificially induced psychosis of war hysteria and an incessant propaganda of fear."  ----General Douglas MacArthur

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JJ
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« Reply #76 on: July 17, 2008, 08:28:20 PM »

purringfur very well thought out and put down for all to see. Agree we are facing a financial tsunami that will most likely dwarf the great depression.

Katie we are the worlds consumers of goods. When we just about completely stop buying anything but basics like food & gasoline then everyone around the world will feel it. Without our money buying their stuff where do they stand then? I don't care what asian country would try to go back to farming and still consume resources - you have to have money to do that too and if they have less money coming in their people will lose their jobs too and not consume like before. A viscious circle to be sure but is anyone doing a darn thing about trying to stop this financial train wreck that's slowly tearing thru this country and taking no passengers?
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Katie
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« Reply #77 on: July 18, 2008, 11:41:02 AM »

JJ,

It is a viscious circle - I'm not sure our government leaders or business, etc. were prepared for what happens when the rest of the world's population caught up with us.  A world population with more money or raw materials to barter with happened more quickly than any one imagined. China, Korea, Thailand, African nations, etc; now compete with us for goods. The more money in their pockets, the greater their ability to compete. That barrel of oil, that bushel of corn, bag of flour; it's affordable to many. It will go to the highest payer. Than there are the "quasi" governments like Nigeria, Venezuela, Iran, etc, etc..... governments that hold the rights to the raw materials and determine how they will enter the marketplace and at what price. They make deals under the table. Unfortunately, while we would like for the world to depend upon us; there is a "new world order" happening. I would like to believe that the world needs us -but I'm not sure that is the case anymore. The answer: I sure hope someone has one.

Katie
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cynthiak23
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« Reply #78 on: July 18, 2008, 04:46:54 PM »


From what I know and from what my gut feeling is telling me, It's going to get a whole lot worse. Now is the time to prepare by putting away money and stocking up on food and water. It would be a very good idea to buy gold and silver and a gun to protect yourself, seriously.

Ron Paul: "Some Big Events Are About To Occur"
Congressman warns of "chaos about to be unleashed" on economic and political system by globalist intervention

Texas Congressman Ron Paul has warned the House that he is "convinced the time is now upon us that some Big Events are about to occur." that will cause liberty to go "into deep hibernation".

Paul told the House:

"These fast-approaching events will not go unnoticed. They will affect all of us. They will not be limited to just some areas of our country. The world economy and political system will share in the chaos about to be unleashed."

"There are reasons to believe this coming crisis is different and bigger than the world has ever experienced. Instead of using globalism in a positive fashion, it's been used to globalize all of the mistakes of the politicians, bureaucrats and central bankers." Paul continued.

Read the article here: http://www.infowars.net/articles/july2008/170708Paul.htm

or watch the video here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06awZjZTVlQ
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JJ
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« Reply #79 on: July 19, 2008, 01:25:40 AM »

Katie what you said is true. Our country is one of the biggest growers of wheat that so many need for food. So we do have something to trade for what our country would need that we do not produce and never have. And if things get worse around the world not letting go of so much of our grain to other places would focus on the needs of this country first and the rest second. People can bargain for resources from other countries but if your starving to death you cant eat those resources to stay alive if your country runs out of food. We can all bargain for the oil but the food to sustain life is not grown in abudance all over the place either.
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Dennis
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« Reply #80 on: July 19, 2008, 11:35:38 AM »

...and if we don't have the gasoline/diesel from the foreign oil, then we won't be able to move around the
"wheat" or other foods to even feed ourselves in this country...  Roll Eyes
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JJ
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« Reply #81 on: July 21, 2008, 12:50:14 AM »

We can always rely on coal and nuclear power - that which you plug an electric car into to charge it to give it power to drive the vehicle. And if all else fails the horse and wagon still exists....
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Dennis
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« Reply #82 on: July 21, 2008, 07:58:33 AM »

We can always rely on coal and nuclear power - that which you plug an electric car into to charge it to give it power to drive the vehicle. And if all else fails the horse and wagon still exists....

Yes, those (electric cars, horses, wagons, etc.) exist. But not enough of them exist if all else fails.
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
Klondike
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« Reply #83 on: July 24, 2008, 06:49:13 PM »


From what I know and from what my gut feeling is telling me, It's going to get a whole lot worse. Now is the time to prepare by putting away money and stocking up on food and water. It would be a very good idea to buy gold and silver and a gun to protect yourself, seriously.

Ron Paul: "Some Big Events Are About To Occur"
Congressman warns of "chaos about to be unleashed" on economic and political system by globalist intervention

Texas Congressman Ron Paul has warned the House that he is "convinced the time is now upon us that some Big Events are about to occur." that will cause liberty to go "into deep hibernation".

Paul told the House:

"These fast-approaching events will not go unnoticed. They will affect all of us. They will not be limited to just some areas of our country. The world economy and political system will share in the chaos about to be unleashed."

"There are reasons to believe this coming crisis is different and bigger than the world has ever experienced. Instead of using globalism in a positive fashion, it's been used to globalize all of the mistakes of the politicians, bureaucrats and central bankers." Paul continued.

Read the article here: http://www.infowars.net/articles/july2008/170708Paul.htm

or watch the video here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06awZjZTVlQ

I watched the Youtube video of Ron Paul addressing Fed Chairman Bernanke.  At least he got Bernanke to admit that inflation is a form of taxation.  I hope more and more voters start to understand that.

It didn't seem like Bernanke offered any hope that inflation would be reduced soon, especially regarding food and fuel.
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"Our country is now geared to an arms economy bred in an artificially induced psychosis of war hysteria and an incessant propaganda of fear."  ----General Douglas MacArthur

"American GIs are not toy soldiers to be moved around on some global game board."  ----General Colin Powell
trudy1
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« Reply #84 on: August 10, 2008, 01:43:34 PM »

Had to bring it back up. How is everyone doing now? we are worse than when i put this link up.
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Klondike
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« Reply #85 on: August 10, 2008, 02:13:40 PM »

Sorry, Trudy.  With inflation increasing and assets tanking the vast majority of us have to be worse off.

This article sugar coats it.  Lots of people were already in frugal mode a few years ago. 

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/consumer-spending-heading-fall/story.aspx?guid=%7BD2B600B5%2DBE3C%2D4814%2DA302%2D6C17696F8ABB%7D
Consumer spending heading for a fall
Economist: 'Frugality is now replacing frivolity'
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch

Last update: 12:01 a.m. EDT Aug. 10, 2008 Comments: 250
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- With the stimulus checks just a memory, U.S. consumer spending is set to decline in the third quarter for the first time in 17 years, economists say.
"The rebates were big enough to keep spending on the positive track in the second quarter, but U.S. households didn't spend nearly as much of the windfall from Washington as Congress expected. Instead, they saved it and used it to pay down debts heading into what could be a long winter.
Economists estimate that between one-sixth and one-fourth of the money was spent.
"Frugality is now replacing frivolity," wrote David Rosenberg, chief North American economist for Merrill Lynch, who suggests that the consumption patterns of the 1950s could be coming back. "Ozzie and Harriett" is in; "Sex in the City" is out....."
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"Our country is now geared to an arms economy bred in an artificially induced psychosis of war hysteria and an incessant propaganda of fear."  ----General Douglas MacArthur

"American GIs are not toy soldiers to be moved around on some global game board."  ----General Colin Powell
trudy1
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« Reply #86 on: August 10, 2008, 04:29:52 PM »

Good article, but it does sugar coat it. I don't know anyone in their right mind who thinks we are starting to live frugally. That started a long time ago. And where did they think the money was going to go? We've even said it on here. We are not going to go out shopping and blow the check. we need to pay bills.
and the article doesn't mention the amount of homeless and laid-off people who can't buy anything anyway.
I wish the Gov. would pay attention to business- US, for a change. The people. We're still here for now, is there anyone there?
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lesliek
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« Reply #87 on: August 10, 2008, 06:21:29 PM »

Well still spending twice as much for gas & food & DH got laid off Friday. So a lot more going out & a lot less coming in. Time to start transferring from the savings which go down big time monthly. I would take a 2nd job but oops already have one taking care of mil .At this rate we will be working for Wallyworld or MickeyD's instead of retiring.
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carolo
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« Reply #88 on: August 10, 2008, 10:37:44 PM »

The stock market will come back around to where it once was.  Someday.  It could be just a few years.  (Miracles do occur.)  It could be a decade or longer.  Those who are still working, be very thankful and do what you can to keep that job.  Develop new skills whenever and wherever you can.  Everyone look after your health.  Lose that and if unable to work, there goes any help w/ your medcal, dental insurance, maybe you even have 401K now w/ company matching your contribution up to a certain level?  That's found money, right there.  (For your future, at least)  If using mutual funds, go w/ a company that offers no load funds, low expense ratio.  Or if not wanting stock or bond mutual fund or balanced fund, put that 401K money in CD's.  Search for best rates at bankrate.com.  Those who can do all of the above are most fortunate.

Does the above tell you anything about my gut feeling for the economy?  It totally stinks for the retirees now.  Stocks down.  Interest rates so very low.  Expenses going up way more than their SS checks.  Anybody over 70 1/2 or have spouse w/ IRA or 401 or whatever will have to be taking their MDR at the very least.  So out it comes and most likely it will be spent just to cover the basics of life.  And IF the market does eventually climb, that isn't going to help if the $$$ are already spent out of necessity.  I'm not sure what the economists are thinking.  Are they thinking?  People in early retirement usually spend money on home remodel, hobbies, travel and things they have been putting off.  It is different now.  Much of the retired population has curtailed any and all unnecesary spending.  My parents saw double digit returns on their CD's for years.  They never had a penny in the stock market and had no need for the risk.  A bad turn of events left them w/out a penny, but that is a different story and nothing to do w/ the economy of their time.  It's different now.  With nothing but Social Security for income, the retired eat into their principal early instead of using mostly their dvidends and interest.  Most will run out of money way long before they planned.  Not many have long term care insurance, either.  That will put additional burdens on the economy. 

If we have the basics of a roof overhead, clean and nutritious food, clean and abundant water, money for utilities and gas to get to work, that has to be considered a very good life.  I hear people talk about just getting their debt paid off more than unnecessary spending.  There is a program locally to collect school supplies for the fall, because most of the teachers in our area (according to local newscast and backed up by neighbor w/ two kids in the teaching profession) spend $1,500 out of their own pocket each year just to keep all the students in their classroom w/ basic school supplies.  This was never the case when I was growing up, you know...when dinosaurs roamed the earth!

Who was it who said "it's the economy, stupid?"  Well, it was and it is, and I think it is in pretty dismal condition.
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JJ
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« Reply #89 on: August 11, 2008, 05:43:21 PM »

Carolo I know about interest - my 401k earns less and less. How do they think anyone now working will be able to afford to retire if your retirement fund earns zip for interest? And the retirees using their 401k's, pension funds, etc? They earned what in interest the past years? So the people can't retire, the young have less job opportunities because people have to work and want to retire, its a catch-22 and does not look like anything is being discussed by our runners for office at all. Neither one has a plan to fix things so what good are either one of them? Will it be 4 more years of same ole same ole no matter which one gets in? We'll be like a third world country by then.....or close to it
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'Life isn't about how to survive the storm,
But how to dance in the rain.'
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