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Dennis
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« on: July 26, 2008, 08:03:41 AM » |
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Ahmadinejad Says Iran Has 6,000 Centrifuges http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,391529,00.htmlThis is double the number they said they had. And it will further inflame the overall issue as it helps position them to be able to build dozens of nuclear weapons. Iran says it plans to move toward large-scale uranium enrichment that ultimately will involve 54,000 centrifuges. Anyone else doubt that operating this many centrifuges is about fuel for nuclear power reactors? The total centrifuges now is alleged to be 6,000 while expanding that to 54,000 seems overkill for just nuclear power plants. Also, they have a heavy water plant which is necessary for Plutonium and is highly likely only for weapons.
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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3catkidneyfailure
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2008, 08:25:11 AM » |
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Obviously, it's a very dangerous situation, Dennis. All available evidence seems to point that out. It's in the WMD for real this time category. How would you propose to change it? That seems to be the question.
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Dennis
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2008, 10:56:13 AM » |
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Well, it is apparently coming down to a confrontation, unfortunately. If Iran gets nuclear weapons every other Middle East country will feel the need to have them to keep Iran from pushing its weight around with them. They have already said so. And if Iran gets nuclear weapons even with the IAEA and the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty then it invalidates the worth of the NNP Treaty totally. Why bother if the bad nations don't have to abide by it? Why punish good nations who even if they had the weapons wouldn't use them except in self-defense? And Israel has made it abundantly clear it will not permit Iran to have nukes because Iran has threatened as much as Israel's annihilation and Iran has as much said it would use the weapons. Israel's reason is its own survival based upon explicit public threats already made and repeated. So the questions become: - Does Iran back down?
- Does Israel strike Iran's nuclear development sites prior to them getting weapons or after?
- Does the U.S. strike Iran's nuclear development sites prior to them getting weapons or after?
- How will we know when they do - is it when they launch missiles at Israel and at U.S. targets?
- Will Iran use a freighter to launch a surprise nuke EMP attack on the U.S. because they have
tested one class missile for exactly that type of use?
None of us want to see a confrontation with Iran. None of us want the expense of one. Yet how else does the U.N., the U.S., Israel, and the U.N. Security Council stop them when they have made it abundantly clear that they will not stop? Sanctions are not working... Most of us don't understand what an EMP would do to the U.S. or any developed nation. It would return the country to a pre-1900 timeframe with electricity offline and most electronics and electrical items not working at all, along with everything that such a disaster entails. One high altitude EMP burst can do that much damage. They could destroy much of the U.S., Canada, and Mexico with one such burst. Depending on altitude and size, it might take more than one to blanket us, but basically anything connected to long stretches of metal such as power wires, cable, phone wires, etc. will carry a large current discharge that will destroy much of what is connected to them. And as items on those lines fail, they in turn can produce more discharges killing more devices. While there may only be a few direct deaths, i.e. people with pacemakers, etc. it will be the indirect ones that add up. Here is an example of what I mean concerning EMP: http://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/military_law/1281421.htmlhttp://www.worldnetdaily.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=70472http://www.ki4u.com/survive/doomsday.htmSo, the question back to you is look at where this is heading and decide how you'd handle it. Most of us can only do modest preparations for some survival without outside help for some short period of time. That is all we can do. If I were betting on the situation, I'd say after the election in November and before the new President takes office will be the most dangerous time for all of us.
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« Last Edit: July 26, 2008, 10:58:58 AM by Dennis »
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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3catkidneyfailure
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2008, 11:02:21 AM » |
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Given the level of potential mass destruction threat, I honestly don't know. That's why I asked.
Thank you for the informative links.
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Dennis
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2008, 01:49:19 PM » |
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And now this headline: In secret note, Olmert says Bush has deserted Israel against Iran http://www.debka.com/headline.php?hid=5467...If nothing is done to arrest Iran’s progress towards a nuclear bomb, Olmert warned, Iran will have all the components ready for assembly by early 2009, that is, in 6-8 months....
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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Poco
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2008, 01:54:21 PM » |
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Given the level of potential mass destruction threat, I honestly don't know. That's why I asked.
Thank you for the informative links.
Please take a look at this online defense technology journal. I first read about EMP in one of these. (Sorry about the harsh way they describe WND, Dennis. I personally read a little of everything and don't dismiss sources so universally.) http://www.defensetech.org/archives/001526.htmlEMP SCAREMONGERS FIZZLE It sounds scary – like comic book super-villain scary – at first, this idea that Iran is plotting to hit American with a king-sized electromagnetic pulse, triggered by a nuke in the skies. Luckily, it's a scenario about as realistic as the X-Men.
For years, a group of right-wing defense policy makers have been warning about the dangers of an EMP assault. Their "latest evidence," according to Internet tinhat-factory World NetDaily: a Tehran "military journal" article that "publicly considered the idea of launching an electromagnetic pulse attack as the key to defeating the world's lone superpower."....
Apparently this rumor has resurfaced, probably for political reasons. There is some of that on both sides going on now. We are being scared to death. That's politics, but I just hope the American people are not actually fooled into a real war again. Iran does not have a history of using WMD. Iraq invaded Iran and used chemical weapons on them. Iran did not respond in kind. Lots of our enemies would love to see us invade Iran, including Al Qaeda. That would kill two birds with one stone for them. Even if Iran gets nuclear capability, they won't use it pre-emptively against us for the same reason all the other countries that have it don't use it - they would be turned to glass by us, or Russia or China. Or maybe India or Pakistan or N. Korea?
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"Our country is now geared to an arms economy bred in an artificially induced psychosis of war hysteria and an incessant propaganda of fear." ----General Douglas MacArthur
"American GIs are not toy soldiers to be moved around on some global game board." ----General Colin Powell
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DMS
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2008, 04:12:22 PM » |
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I still can not get out of my mind that the US is using WMD in Iraq--depleted uranium weaponry which has contaminated the cities and poisoned the people--including our soldiers. So much distruction, and for what--a regime change? Oil? To counter their alleged WMD? --------------------------------------------------------- http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2007/10/09/4428/The turning point in the war to oust the Taliban government came on Nov. 6 at Mazar-e Sharif, a key city in the northern plains. Attack aircraft rained down hundreds of MK82 500-lb bombs. B-52 bombers used carpet bombing to kill thousands of Taliban forces. It was here that U.S. forces dropped the first BLU-82 Daisy Cutter bomb, each weighing 15,000 lbs, producing devastation over a 600-yard radius. All the weapons used by the U.S. air attack included depleted uranium shielding. Depleted uranium (DU) is produced during the uranium enrichment process. The U-235 used to produce fuel for reactors generating electricity is removed, leaving the U-238 isotope. The material is extremely dense and increases the penetration ability of weapons; it is used to coat shells and warheads on missiles and bombs. On impact, the shell, with its uranium and traces of americium and plutonium, vaporizes and becomes very tiny particles of radioactive dust. When it is inhaled it can stay in the body, emitting radiation. The DU used in U.S. weapons comes from the uranium mines in Saskatchewan. In the 1991 Gulf war, DU was delivered almost exclusively with shells from tanks and ammunition used by aircraft. It is used in all armour-piercing ordnance. In the wars in Bosnia in 1995 and Kosovo in 1999, NATO allies added DU missiles and bunker busting bombs. Thousands of DU bombs and missiles have been used by U.S. forces in the Afghan and Iraq wars. A typical bunker bomb contains 1.5 tonnes of depleted uranium. In August 2003 Scott Peterson of the Christian Science Monitor used a Geiger counter to test several sites in Baghdad near where bunker-buster bombs and missiles had fallen. He found radiation readings that were between 1,000 and 1,900 times higher than normal background radiation readings. DU weapons are still being extensively used in Iraq and Afghanistan. --------------------------------------------------------------- http://www.idust.net/Letters/Moret01.htmRE: Declassified 1943 memo to General L.R. Groves – a blueprint for depleted uranium Dear Congressman McDermott, Mr. Joe Pemberton, a lawyer in Bellingham, Washington, has asked me to provide you with scientific information on the critical and overlooked issues of particle size, penetration of gas masks, and mobility of depleted uranium formed under battleground conditions. It is also powerful scientific information to counter false statements recently made by the White House1 and the DOD2 -------------------------------------------------------------- And a look at a cost in American lives and health. Pages 6 and 7 get intersting. The 4000+ we hear of died in Iraq. Look at the deaths after coming home or to foreign hospitals. Look at the disability claims: http://www1.va.gov/rac-gwvi/docs/GWVIS_Aug2007.pdf
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« Last Edit: July 26, 2008, 07:18:06 PM by DMS »
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None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free. -Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
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Dennis
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2008, 06:17:24 PM » |
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Klondike, I know the left hates WND mostly because of its conservative spin. But WND isn't the only report on EMP threat, and frankly the Congress has been warned about this EMP threat repeatedly for many years and they take the threat seriously. Indeed they have an EMP Commission studying it (LOL, you didn't expect Congress to actually DO SOMETHING about it, now did you?). The U.S. has taken no substantial effort to prevent damage from an EMP attack, aside from our own military and the use of Tempest technology as far as I know. Let's explore farther and get past the tinker hat fizzle cover-up of the reality of the threat and remove WND from the photo. One of the reasons EMP is described as a non-threat is because the left needs to debunk the possibility of this becoming a real devastating attack so that any spending for this threat then becomes re-deployable for more domestic concerns. Conversely, I'd expect hawks to overstate the threat for the same funding reasons. Let's visit the Global Security dot Org site which documents all sorts of military intelligence on many countries and watches for news items on them. That includes Iran. Much of what is on this site is from the military and from Congress, and other reliable sources. The dates of the reports make it very clear this has been an issue for years, not something dreamed up for Election 2008. First, there is the Washington Post with this 2005 article from Senator Kyle: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A57774-2005Apr15.htmlAn electromagnetic pulse (EMP) attack on the American homeland, said one of the distinguished scientists who testified at the hearing, is one of only a few ways that the United States could be defeated by its enemies -- terrorist or otherwise. And it is probably the easiest. A single Scud missile, carrying a single nuclear weapon, detonated at the appropriate altitude, would interact with the Earth's atmosphere, producing an electromagnetic pulse radiating down to the surface at the speed of light. Depending on the location and size of the blast, the effect would be to knock out already stressed power grids and other electrical systems across much or even all of the continental United States, for months if not years.... U.S. Lawmakers Warn Of Wider EMP Threat http://www.globalsecurity.org/org/news/2004/040726-emp-threat.htmAnd note that was an article from 2004 and mentions the EMP discussions from 1999 and from 1997. So this isn't political hay for the dumb 2008 elections. The article in Popular Mechanics was dated 2001. Here is a 2005 article mentioning that we still don't have protection in place against this threat: http://www.globalsecurity.org/org/news/2005/050309-electric-wmd.htmHere is a 1997 article about the threat concerning our military and civilian infrastructure in Congressional testimony: http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/congress/1997_h/has197010_1.htmSame topic, from 1999: http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/congress/1999_h/has280010_0.htmHere is 2006 Congressional testimony re-establishing an EMP Commission with it producing studies due in 2007 and through 2010. http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/congress/2005_rpt/hr1815eh.htmHere is a 2002 Army document that points out that Iran is suspected of seeking or has procured nuclear/EMP devices: http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/congress/2005_rpt/hr1815eh.htmEMP Commission 2004 report http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/congress/2004_r/04-07-22emp.pdf...Several potential adversaries have or can acquire the capability to attack the United States with a high-altitude nuclear weapon-generated electromagnetic pulse (EMP). A determined adversary can achieve an EMP attack capability without having a high level of sophistication... A terrorist organization might have trouble putting a nuclear warhead "on target" with a Scud, but it would be much easier to simply launch and detonate in the atmosphere. No need for the risk and difficulty of trying to smuggle a nuclear weapon over the border or hit a particular city. Just launch a cheap missile from a freighter in international waters -- al Qaeda is believed to own about 80 such vessels -- and make sure to get it a few miles in the air.... The Sept. 11 commission report stated that our biggest failure was one of "imagination."... In 2005, Iran conducted successful tests to determine if its Shahab-3 ballistic missiles, capable of carrying a nuclear warhead, can be detonated by a remote-control device while still in high-altitude flight. Scientists, including President Reagan's top science adviser, William R. Graham, say there is no other explanation for such tests than preparation for the deployment of electromagnetic pulse weapons. Graham has said "Briefly, a single nuclear weapon exploded at high altitude above the United States will interact with the Earth's atmosphere, ionosphere and magnetic field to produce an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) radiation down to the Earth and additionally create electrical currents in the Earth," said the report. "EMP effects are both direct and indirect. The former are due to electrical systems, and the latter arise from the damage that 'shocked' – upset, damaged and destroyed – electronics controls then inflict on the systems in which they are embedded. The indirect effects can be even more severe than the direct effects." Here was one report of many confirming that Iran tested a Shihab-3 missile claiming success when the missile climbed and detonated after flight. It also mentioned early on that Iran had a nuclear design for a warhead that would fit this missile. And other articles point out that Iran now has solid fueled missiles, including the Shihab-3, which can hasten the firing of the missiles and makes them more accurate, cheaper, and store longer. http://www.solomonia.com/blog/archives/006748.shtmlhttp://www.dailyalert.org/archive/2005-06/2005-06-01.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2005/06/01/international/middleeast/01iran.html?_r=1&oref=sloginGoing back in history, some experts predicted Iran would have nuclear weapons in 2005, perhaps from other nations. I could go on, but I need to get up and walk around and exercise my legs. Depleted Uranium is a low level radioactive round that the military uses intended to pierce heavy armor due to its extreme mass. It is a separate unrelated issue and probably can't be defended given the radioactive nature of the rounds.
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« Last Edit: July 26, 2008, 06:22:49 PM by Dennis »
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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DMS
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« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2008, 06:32:17 PM » |
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One thing that seems kind of strange to me is that all of these countries with large amounts of oil and natural gas are the biggest threats to us. One might think they feel somewhat threatened themselves, considering they are sitting on such a precious commodity.
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None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free. -Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
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Dennis
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« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2008, 06:47:33 PM » |
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What seems strange to me is that the U.S. is sitting on large deposits of oil and natural gas and the Congress is impeding the use of them while promoting that foreign oil use and dependence that you find strange bedfellows with national security issues. I noticed that while the oil companies can explore and do starter drilling on the leased lands the Feds provided, they have to keep going back to Congress to beg for the right to withdraw the deposits. And they do hear no... There are so many intertwined issues.
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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DMS
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« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2008, 06:58:36 PM » |
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It's all very strange indeed, Dennis, especially when the plan is to allegedly get off of carbon based energy sources. Perhaps we are hoping to be the last ones standing with oil reserves? It is a position of power. Although, hopefully they will soon be obsolete. I did see your scrubber thread, and am looking into it. Do you have any more info, independent scientific studies. I had a hard time finding info. I will check back to that thread.
The depleted urnanium point was only introduced to show the hypocracy of the US position. I considered it on topic for that reason. Whether Iran plans to or would ever use such a device, is it more than speculation? After Iraq, can Congressional and HS sources be trusted? We are pretty free-wheeling with the nuclear weapons as far as history and the present go. And why? How are they not WMD? That was my point, who is the real nuclear threat.
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None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free. -Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
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Dennis
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« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2008, 09:54:29 PM » |
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...That was my point, who is the real nuclear threat... That is an unpopular position that you present suggesting that the U.S. is a nuclear threat. I guess somewhere in there is the implication that Iran should be permitted to gain WMDs too and then use them as their leader seems intent to do based upon his remarks about his visions? We haven't used our nukes on others since Japan in WWII to my knowledge. And while the use is repugnant, those living at the time of that War would be quick to remind that they believed that MILLIONS of both U.S. and Japanese lives were saved by us NOT having to invade Japan and having that war drag on for many years. I am presenting that not as my opinion, rather just as one opinion from that time period. If the U.S. were the threat you imply, we would not have asked the U.N. Security Council's involvement with Iran, nor would the IAEA have been involved, nor would we have listened to allies and others and postponed this for YEARS. Iran could have been given an ultimatum and then nuked, asked to relent, and then nuked again based on your position. There is a big difference in having superior weapons and having the intent to use them at every opportunity for bad purposes instead of deterrence. And if the U.S. were to have to attack Iran to prevent them obtaining nukes, I'd expect that attack to be limited to crippling their ability to project power at us and Israel as well as the military targets. Unlike the threat you imply, the U.S. wouldn't be nuking a city, rather taking out deep bunkers where the centrifuges and nuke development is being done. Turning this around, what do you suggest be done with Iran? Let them obtain nukes? Let them use them on Israel? Let them then get hit by Israel and then as Iran's leader suggests, they will assuredly hit us as well in "retaliation" for Israel hitting them and us supporting Israel? And for how many more years? After Iran hits us probably wiping out a large amount of our regional military, do we retaliate then? Will our retaliation be effective as conventional weapons given they have buried their nuke developments in depp bunkers? Will that retaliation be effective after the Dems seriously cut defense spending like they always do, leaving our military underfunded? When conventional responses are not funded, it leaves only the more severe responses as options. Unfortunately Iran isn't like Russia's leaders. Russia understands mutually assured destruction (MAD) and hasn't wanted to start something that would cost them as much as it costs us. Iran's leaders accept that there would be losses to their actions and those would be accepted if they could end Israel's existence and kill the great satan. And do we permit Iran to threaten the other friendly Middle East nations with their nukes? Those other countries already believe Iran would do so, and that is why Saudi Arabia and others want to also develop nuclear "power". What Iran is doing is bringing an end to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty and starting an age where less stable, less rational nations might acquire nukes. And those are more likely to use them and they are more likely to loose control over them to terrorists. Strange as I wrote this last part, this article popped up and so I am adding it:http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24078316-25837,00.htmlA CRISIS meeting of Pakistan's new coalition Government has been warned that it could lose control of the North West Frontier Province, which is believed to hold most of its nuclear arsenal.
The warning came yesterday from the coalition leader, who, although he is part of the new Government, is regarded as having the closest links to al-Qa'ida and Taliban militants sweeping through the region.
Maulana Fazlur Rehman bluntly told his colleagues: "The North West Frontier province is breaking away from Pakistan. That is what is happening. That is the reality."
This came just days before new Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani's scheduled meeting with US President George W. Bush to discuss al-Qa'ida and Taliban sanctuaries in Pakistan... And now this presents a new issue. Does the U.S. act unilaterally and secure those nukes, when, and how? I hope we're not going to discuss the issue with everyone who might care for years while the nukes become available to those who would use them on Russia, on China, on Israel, on the U.S., on Britain, on India, etc. I did a quick check. It looks like Pakistan has at least an estimated 75 nukes, some disassembled as of 2004. http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/pakistan/nuke-stockpile.htmNuclear facilities in Pak http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/pakistan/facility.htmAdding one soldier's point of view. I think many will like his song: http://g.dwgsee.com/wake/index.htm
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« Last Edit: July 26, 2008, 10:43:53 PM by Dennis »
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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Poco
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« Reply #12 on: July 27, 2008, 01:50:53 AM » |
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Klondike, I know the left hates WND mostly because of its conservative spin. I did filter out the leftie and conspiracy theory web sites and that defense technology geek site was about all that was left. I found a more mainstream web site on my favorites list that might reassure you. This is a journal for defense contractors and military procurement specialists. http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/ge-gets-125m-to-test-emp-solutions-for-aircraft-02830/http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/usaf-detachment-8-continues-us-research-into-empmicrowave-weapons-01988/"HPM actually encompasses a variety of devices. HERF (High Energy Radio Frequency) and EMP (Electro-Magnetic Pulse) “electronics killer e-bombs” effects are HPM weapons, and this field has received the bulk for research dollars. So too, however, is “Project Sheriff,” also known as the “pain ray” that does no significant damage to its human target other than causing pain. Other nations believed to be conducting research in the area of HPM weapons generally include China, Great Britain and France.
The Air Force is awarding a $24 million to be split among these eight companies. DID lists the companies involved in the current contract, and also notes previous contracts along similar lines that extend back to 1994: "(Dems in power...) This contract provides for research and development under BAA entitled “Electro Magnetic Effects Research and Development.” A previous award to Fiore Industries in 2002 noted that the ultimate goals of the AFRL programs were to provide information on HPM source output parameters that will allow them to disrupt, deny, degrade and/or destroy adversary systems using these weapons, and to protect U.S. systems from HPM attack or the effects of US weapons if they’re used.
There are rumours that weapons of this type were used in Operation Iraqi Freedom.
Some Democrats can be stingy about defense, but the biggest hit to the defense budget and our standing in world opinion is the war in Iraq. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Mearsheimerhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=htmO1Cyl73s
EMP Rummy now: http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/national/82658_micro15.shtmlAlways Rummy: 2. The Neocons - Rumsfeld's Imaginary War (2/14)http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j2yA55wh17Y
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"Our country is now geared to an arms economy bred in an artificially induced psychosis of war hysteria and an incessant propaganda of fear." ----General Douglas MacArthur
"American GIs are not toy soldiers to be moved around on some global game board." ----General Colin Powell
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DMS
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« Reply #13 on: July 27, 2008, 02:26:55 AM » |
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We haven't used our nukes on others since Japan in WWII to my knowledge.
Turning this around, what do you suggest be done with Iran? Let them obtain nukes? Let them use them on Israel?
What I meant, Dennis, about our being a nuclear threat is our use of depleted uranium weapons. Those are nuclear weapons. We have been using them since the first Gulf War. Bunker Busters containing tons of DU, as well. Right in the cities. I included the links above, if you are interested. I think what we are doing, finally talking to Iraq, is a good way to proceed and long overdue. As you rightly point out, much of the Middle East is on very shaky ground as it is. I believe it is worse since the last Gulf War. Even if Iran were to launch an EMP attack and it actually did disable the US energy infrastructure, we are not the only country capable of attacking them, and that must be in their consideration. Of course, I am not advocating for that. I'm just pointing out that there is still room for MAD. I really feel Iran is much more likely to be attacked by us than vice-versa. Did you see the O'Fallon thread on Unmoderated Discussions? I imagine you did. There is quite a history of back and forth and intermingled issues you have mentioned on the surface as well. I, personally, being no big political expert, feel there is an underlying agenda because a lot of things just don't make sense. There is more to the picture, IMO, than a madman hell-bent on destroying the US and/or Isreal. I'm glad the dialog has been started and hope to see it continue, knowing it will not be a tea party. But I believe we can achieve peace through non-violent means. And we have before. I hope it will happen this time.
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« Last Edit: July 27, 2008, 02:34:06 AM by DMS »
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None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free. -Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
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Dennis
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« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2008, 08:04:27 AM » |
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...I'm just pointing out that there is still room for MAD.... The problem I am pointing out with MAD is this. For Mutually Assured Destruction to work as a deterrent, BOTH sides have to fear their own total destruction as a result of the retaliation of the other. In the case of Iran, the leadership there DOES NOT fear being destroyed. Their leader believes that he will start the next coming of their 12th Imam based upon a vision. So, they are willing to USE WNDs because of this. Now, I doubt their citizens all share that view but then their leaders aren't like ours subject to unrestricted public opinion. I understand your point now about the DU. Still, those are really low level radioactive. Do you realize they make some golf clubs with it? Probably other items too. I don't want to get carried away with the comparisons, but recall the radium that was used in watch dials for luminescence? It is radioactive too, but in a tiny amount. I am not saying DU is as safe as radium, nor implying radium is totally safe. Adding: Here is more about President Ahmadinejad's vision and why MAD doesn't exist for him: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/1507818/%27Divine-mission%27-driving-Iran%27s-new-leader.htmlhttp://www.dinocrat.com/archives/2006/01/14/a-madman-with-a-sense-of-destiny/So he is said to believe he is divinely inspired to bring back the 12th Imam by starting the global conflict which apparently he believes begins that process... Since that is a higher calling, he isn't worried about his people or his own life. ...we are not the only country capable of attacking them, and that must be in their consideration.... Don't worry. If Iran wiped out our power infrastructure here in the U.S., the ICBMs would still launch and so would the sea based SLBMs. And of course there are our allies and our bases on our allies soil. Adding: Understanding Ahmadinejad http://analysis.threatswatch.org/2005/11/understanding-ahmadinejad/
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« Last Edit: July 27, 2008, 09:23:39 AM by Dennis »
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My posts are just my opinion on foods, products, and topics and are solely my opinion as a result of my observations and reading, and are not recommendations to others. Contents at links are solely the responsibility of that owner.
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